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NO1 out • -0.3 pts
BAL1 out • -0.5 pts
-0.3 pts impact
-0.5 pts impact
SOS: 0.505
SOS: 0.502
Week 11 Regular Season
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
NO1 out • -0.3 ptsJason Lockhart (SS)93 OVR
BAL1 out • -0.5 ptsVince Hurd (LT)80 OVR
Game Projections
Spread
NO -0.5
NO favored
Money Line
NO-128
BAL+105
Win Prob54% / 46%
Over/Under
54.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
28.5
NO
26
BAL
Offense (Per Game)
NOSTATBAL
31.1
PPG
23.4
332.7
Total YPG
246.9
241.9
Pass YPG
154.9
90.8
Rush YPG
92.0
2.4
Pass TD/G
1.2
0.9
Rush TD/G
0.9
1.9
TO/G
1.1
46.7%
3rd Down %
40.9%
53.3%
RZ TD %
55.6%
Defense (Per Game)
NOSTATBAL
28.3
PPG Allowed
24.1
333.4
Total YPG
238.3
236.3
Pass YPG
165.8
97.1
Rush YPG
72.6
2.6
Sacks/G
2.7
1.3
INTs/G
0.3
2.7
Takeaways/G
1.1
1.4
FF/G
0.8
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
NO Props
Total Points29.5
Points Against (Def)25.0
Pass Yards255.0
passAttempts34.0
passTds2.0
Rush Yards95.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts21.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards350.0
Sacks Recorded3.5
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst25.0
defTackles35.0
defSacks3.5
defTFLs6.0
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles1.5
defFumbleRecoveries1.5
defTds0.5
BAL Props
Total Points26.0
Points Against (Def)27.0
Pass Yards225.0
passAttempts30.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards115.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts25.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards340.0
Sacks Recorded3.0
Turnovers2.5
defPointsAgainst27.0
defTackles32.0
defSacks3.0
defTFLs5.5
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles1.0
defFumbleRecoveries1.0
defTds0.5
Key Matchup Edges
NO
Offense vs Defense
NO offense (333 YPG) vs BAL defense (238 YPG allowed)
NO
Turnover Battle
NO: +8 | BAL: 0
NO
Home Field
NO playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Injury Impact on Spread
Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality
NO Injuries
-0.3 pts impactJason Lockhart(SS)
93 OVR → 89-0.3 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.3
BAL Injuries
-0.5 pts impactVince Hurd(LT)
80 OVR → 74-0.5 pts
OFF impact: -0.5
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact
SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.
NO Schedule
SOS: 0.505Games Played143
Opponent Record689W - 675L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
BAL Schedule
SOS: 0.502Games Played144
Opponent Record691W - 686L
Opp Win %50.2%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.