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Back to Schedule
Week 11 Regular Season
TB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-2) • Home

34.1PPG
23.9PA
PIT

Pittsburgh Steelers

(3-6) • Away

23.7PPG
27.5PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +1 pts
TBTB1 out • -1.1 pts
Bucky Irving (HB)93 OVR
PITPIT2 out • -0.1 pts
Andrew Manuel (REDGE)93 OVR
Jack Barlow (WR)86 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

TB -14

INJ adj: +1

ACC adj: -4.5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: +17

TB favored

Money Line

TB-1900
PIT+903
Win Prob93% / 8%

Over/Under

55.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

31

TB

24.5

PIT

Offense (Per Game)
TBSTATPIT
34.1
PPG
23.7
316.1
Total YPG
257.8
174.3
Pass YPG
198.2
141.8
Rush YPG
59.6
0.8
Pass TD/G
1.6
1.6
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.6
TO/G
1.4
47.5%
3rd Down %
47.5%
41.3%
RZ TD %
55.6%
Defense (Per Game)
TBSTATPIT
23.9
PPG Allowed
27.5
264.8
Total YPG
300.2
177.7
Pass YPG
191.6
87.1
Rush YPG
108.7
5.9
Sacks/G
3.6
1.1
INTs/G
0.2
2.1
Takeaways/G
0.7
1.0
FF/G
0.4
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

TB

TB Props

Total Points34.0
Points Against (Def)20.5
Pass Yards220.0
passAttempts29.0
passTds0.5
Rush Yards145.0
rushTds1.0
rushAttempts32.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards365.0
Sacks Recorded4.5
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst20.5
defTackles40.0
defSacks4.5
defTFLs8.0
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles1.5
defFumbleRecoveries1.5
defTds1.0
PIT

PIT Props

Total Points21.5
Points Against (Def)32.5
Pass Yards230.0
passAttempts31.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards85.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts19.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards315.0
Sacks Recorded3.5
Turnovers2.0
defPointsAgainst32.5
defTackles29.0
defSacks3.5
defTFLs6.5
defInterceptions0.5
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.0
Key Matchup Edges
TB

Turnover Battle

TB: +5 | PIT: -7

TB

Pass Rush

TB: 5.9 sacks/g | PIT: 3.6 sacks/g

TB

Home Field

TB playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

TBTB Injuries

-1.1 pts impact
Bucky Irving(HB)
93 OVR → 82-1.1 pts
OFF impact: -1.1
DEF impact: -0.0

PITPIT Injuries

-0.1 pts impact
Andrew Manuel(REDGE)
93 OVR → 92-0.1 pts
Jack Barlow(WR)
86 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.1
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

TBTB Schedule

SOS: 0.496
Games Played144
Opponent Record680W - 691L
Opp Win %49.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

PITPIT Schedule

SOS: 0.507
Games Played143
Opponent Record693W - 674L
Opp Win %50.7%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.