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Week 11 Regular Season
ATL

Atlanta Falcons

(5-4) • Home

27.0PPG
28.7PA
CAR

Carolina Panthers

(3-6) • Away

22.4PPG
27.8PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
ATLATL2 out • 0.0 pts
Alec Pierce (WR)84 OVR
Tomas Alvarez (TE)73 OVR
CARCARHealthy

No key injuries reported

Game Projections

Spread

ATL -6

ATL favored

Money Line

ATL-378
CAR+286
Win Prob77% / 23%

Over/Under

54

Combined projected points

Team O/U

28.5

ATL

26

CAR

Offense (Per Game)
ATLSTATCAR
27.0
PPG
22.4
340.4
Total YPG
250.3
224.5
Pass YPG
172.4
115.9
Rush YPG
77.9
2.4
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.8
1.1
TO/G
2.4
45.0%
3rd Down %
32.7%
42.9%
RZ TD %
48.3%
Defense (Per Game)
ATLSTATCAR
28.7
PPG Allowed
27.8
333.9
Total YPG
296.3
235.0
Pass YPG
178.1
98.9
Rush YPG
118.2
3.4
Sacks/G
4.0
0.2
INTs/G
0.6
0.7
Takeaways/G
1.1
0.5
FF/G
0.6
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

ATL

ATL Props

Total Points30.5
Points Against (Def)24.0
Pass Yards230.0
passAttempts31.0
passTds1.5
Rush Yards130.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts29.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards360.0
Sacks Recorded5.5
Turnovers1.0
defPointsAgainst24.0
defTackles48.0
defSacks5.5
defTFLs10.0
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.0
CAR

CAR Props

Total Points24.0
Points Against (Def)29.0
Pass Yards220.0
passAttempts29.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards95.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts21.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards315.0
Sacks Recorded4.5
Turnovers2.0
defPointsAgainst29.0
defTackles44.0
defSacks4.5
defTFLs8.0
defInterceptions0.5
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.5
Key Matchup Edges
ATL

Offense vs Defense

ATL offense (340 YPG) vs CAR defense (296 YPG allowed)

ATL

Turnover Battle

ATL: -4 | CAR: -12

CAR

Pass Rush

ATL: 3.4 sacks/g | CAR: 4.0 sacks/g

ATL

Home Field

ATL playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

ATLATL Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Alec Pierce(WR)
84 OVR → 94-0.0 pts
Tomas Alvarez(TE)
73 OVR → 87-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

ATLATL Schedule

SOS: 0.499
Games Played143
Opponent Record684W - 686L
Opp Win %49.9%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

CARCAR Schedule

SOS: 0.511
Games Played143
Opponent Record698W - 669L
Opp Win %51.1%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.