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Week 11 Regular Season
DET

Detroit Lions

(9-1) • Home

41.2PPG
18.9PA
VS
GB

Green Bay Packers

(1-10) • Away

16.1PPG
31.3PA
FINAL — Prediction vs Result

SPREAD

Predicted

+24.0

Actual

+49

Dev: 25.0

OVER/UNDER

Predicted

55.0

Actual

69

Dev: 14.0

OVER

TEAM O/U

DET39.559
GB15.510
Game Projections

Spread

DET -24

ACC adj: -9.0

SOS adj: +1.5

Base: +24

DET favored

Money Line

DET-1900
GB+1791
Win Prob97% / 3%

Over/Under

55

Combined projected points

Team O/U

36

DET

19

GB

Offense (Per Game)
DETSTATGB
41.2
PPG
16.1
367.5
Total YPG
260.7
229.9
Pass YPG
203.7
137.6
Rush YPG
57.0
2.4
Pass TD/G
1.8
1.9
Rush TD/G
0.0
1.2
TO/G
1.4
57.0%
3rd Down %
34.7%
41.7%
RZ TD %
46.4%
Defense (Per Game)
DETSTATGB
18.9
PPG Allowed
31.3
291.6
Total YPG
374.3
223.7
Pass YPG
223.8
67.9
Rush YPG
150.5
3.9
Sacks/G
1.5
2.2
INTs/G
0.6
3.2
Takeaways/G
0.9
1.0
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

DET

DET Props

Total Points41.0
Points Against (Def)17.5
Pass Yards230.0
passAttempts31.0
passTds1.5
Rush Yards155.0
rushTds1.0
rushAttempts35.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards390.0
Sacks Recorded4.0
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst17.5
defTackles39.0
defSacks4.0
defTFLs7.5
defInterceptions1.5
defForcedFumbles1.0
defFumbleRecoveries1.0
defTds1.0
GB

GB Props

Total Points18.0
Points Against (Def)38.0
Pass Yards250.0
passAttempts33.0
passTds1.5
Rush Yards70.0
rushTds0.0
rushAttempts15.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards315.0
Sacks Recorded2.0
Turnovers2.5
defPointsAgainst38.0
defTackles42.0
defSacks2.0
defTFLs3.0
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.0
Key Matchup Edges
DET

Turnover Battle

DET: +20 | GB: -5

DET

Pass Rush

DET: 3.9 sacks/g | GB: 1.5 sacks/g

DET

Home Field

DET playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Head-to-Head History

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.